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Tells you which crates are best to open
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Image by iKonakona
16.5%
profit
Taunt: Square Dance
Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
Refined Metal
100.0%
profit
Uncraft Demoman's Fro
Level 18
2.00 ref
Refined Metal
9.1%
profit
Lord Cockswain's Novelty Mutton Chops and Pipe
Level 21
4.00 ref
Refined Metal
x3
Reclaimed Metal
x2
Taunt: Oblooterated
Level 12
2.00 ref
Refined Metal
Reclaimed Metal
x2
16.7%
profit
Taunt: Fresh Brewed Victory
Level 64
2.33 ref
Refined Metal
x2
Kringle Collection #27342
Level 8
4.66 ref
Refined Metal
x4
Reclaimed Metal
Taunt: The High Five!
Level 5
4.00 ref
Refined Metal
x3
Reclaimed Metal
x2
Taunt: Conga
Level 90
1 key 8.44 ref
Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
x2
0
profit
1:2 Add me or use trade offers
Taunt: Conga
Level 93
1 key 8.44 ref
Mann Co. Supply Crate Key #2
x2
0.7%
profit
Caution 2 keys + 3.66 ref or 3 keys in items. Add me/Send me Trade offer. Thanks, ^_^
Upgrade to Premium Gift
Level 56
2 key 3.77 ref
Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
x2.4

News

Big steam update, time to craft

Thu, 18 Sep 2014 01:09:21 +0000
If you haven't noticed yet or are not on steam alert, there has been a steam update with a lot of craftable items and there are still many valuable low craft numbers to made.
http://www.trade.tf/items/updates

And don't forget to brag about your low craft numbers :)
http://steamcommunity.com/groups/trade_tf/discussions/0/613936673320579629/

Remember that low craft numbers are value, they vary between 1 bud to 4-5 keys depending on the number.

Happy crafting!

Mini update: audio alert for live deals

Sun, 31 Aug 2014 20:34:19 +0000
Camping the live deals can be a strain on your nervous system, especially if you focus on rare items (unusuals) or very high profits because they don't show up every second and you must stay in front of the window or else you'll miss a good deal.

Not anymore
Well, now you can relax and do something else since I've added an audio alert option to the live deals that will play a sound when new trades show up so that you can stop doing whatever you're doing (hey that's none of my business!) and take a look:
http://www.trade.tf/deals/live

Sorry guys, this one is a just for pro update, remember that you can try pro for 15 minutes for a mere scrap (or 1 hour for a reclaimed) which you'll recover in no time anyway by picking some juicy deals ;) Now that's a marketing pitch!

Happy trading

PS: A bug where the sound would play regardless of the filters you had set has been fixed, so now if you only show unusuals, it'll only play sound when unusuals appear.

Coming soon... may be: a special trading bot for everyone

Fri, 29 Aug 2014 02:23:57 +0000
Well here's how it started, after my unusual experiments, I'm left off with many items to sell. And it's a pain to sell them all by hand.

So I thought may be I should write a bot to sell them for me, and this is where it gets interesting. Basically if I can do it for me, I can do it for everyone, but I'd like the bot to behave like this:
  1. the items stay in my inventory, in case I want to trade them live
  2. I set the price at which I want to sell the item
  3. if a trade offer is sent to me for the price I specified, then bot automatically accepts it for me otherwise it declines it
  4. it's just a bot, it acts for me on trade offers that I told it to act on, that's all, I still have to post a trade on major site like outpost, etc... for people to know I'm selling the item.
  5. And the bot runs in a simple web page on trade.tf, it's easy to configure what to sell, etc...
So I am currently testing a prototype and it works, but I was wondering if you guys had any needs or feedback, or even if such a bot would be useful to you.

Also I'd like to make it special for pros, like may be they can sell an unlimited number of items at the same time while regular users can sell only 4 for example, or may regular users can only have the bot sell items worth less than a key. I'm looking for ideas basically.

I'm still thinking about it (features, balance between regular and pros), so leave your suggestions!!!

Uncrating unusuals using the Crate Spreadsheet

Sat, 23 Aug 2014 19:28:32 +0000
Today I was bored and thought I'd try uncrating a first generation (most valuable) unusual hat using the crate spreadsheet to minimize my losses:
http://www.trade.tf/crates

So basically by clicking on crates, I saw #1, #13, #14, #21 had a low average loss and also had first generation unusuals. I had been gathering those for a while. Today I decided to uncrate them since keys have kind of dropped and may be it was time to gamble a bit.
  • On crate #13, it turns out I got 13 white paints (worth 2 keys) and 26 pink paints (worth 1 key). So that's roughly 65 keys worth of proceeds, but I also got 39 basic weapons. But basically the concept worked, I was minimizing my losses.
  • On crate #14, similarly I got twice as many lime green (worth 1 key) as black paint (worth 2 keys).
  • Crate #1 was yielding well on black and white paints.
  • And #21 was yielding a lot of strange shotguns and miniguns.
So I've been uncrating and uncrating, and after 200 keys (yeah I wasn't very lucky), eventually the unusual came:
http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=304638802
The first ever Sunbeams Dark Falkirk Helm. As expected it's a first generation effect. And it's the first one of that type/hat ever uncrated.

Detailed analysis
Basically in my uncrating I got the following items:
Spent
200 keys
Uncrated
  • Unusual Sunbeams Dark Falkirk Helm (first ever, no known price)
  • 17 white (34 keys)
  • 16 black (32 keys)
  • 26 pink (26 keys)
  • 18 lime (18 keys)
  • 13 shotguns (13 keys)
  • 10 miniguns (~10 keys)
  • a bunch of hats and stuff worth 1.33 ref
Total
66 keys spent for eventually uncrating Unusual Sunbeams Dark Falkirk Helm

Now you'll notice that I didn't count the crate prices, I've just collected for cheap on steam market for a while and don't remember their values anyway.

Conclusion
But in the end, the deciding factor will be how much is worth the Unusual I got, if it's worth more than 5 buds (and obviously it's going to be worth far more), it's a clear win even accounting for crates prices and all the small items in the 1 - 2 ref range I got from uncrating.

That's where first generation come into play, they're generally worth a lot. And the second part is the rarity, clearly here it's 1 of 1 in existence, and your odds of getting a 1 out of 1 are higher on first generation since there are so many new hats that were not available when the first generation crates were released.

Good luck uncrating for those of you who do, and be scientific about it and make sure you check the crate spreadsheet.
http://www.trade.tf/crates

I've put this hat on Outpost to see what kind of offers I'll get, I'll keep you updated.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22192467