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Prices mathematically updated every hour

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Tells you which crates are best to open
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Latest TF2 update 5.5 days ago
Image by iKonakona
1.55 in pure / 2.33 in items! Add me for quick trade!
Berliner's Bucket Helm
Level 84
1.66 ref
Refined Metal
Reclaimed Metal
Scrap Metal
Dark Falkirk Helm
Level 69
1.66 ref
Refined Metal
Reclaimed Metal
Fire horns manndarin pro flamethrower kit.
Uncraft Flame Thrower Kit
Level 5
18 key
Professional Killstreak
Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
Level 1
18 key
DON'T ADD me,trade offers only,use the ⇆ icon! Pure or item overpay, Also selling games for unusuals and keys.
Strange Part: Kills with a Taunt Attack
Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
Level 1
2 key
Unusual Hotrod (Stormy Storm)
Level 31
1 bud 3 key
Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
Level 1
1 bud 4 key
Dark Age Defender
Level 57
4.33 ref
Refined Metal
Reclaimed Metal
a ref and two scrap and a wapon, is an offert! the price is 1.27
Strange Scottish Resistance
Level 5
1.66 ref
Refined Metal
Runner's Warm-Up
Level 3
3.00 ref
Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
Level 1
1 key
DON'T ADD me,trade offers only,use the ⇆ icon! $/Pure or unusual/item overpay, Also selling games for unusuals and keys.
Unusual Détective Noir (Massed Flies)
Level 4
16 key
Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
Level 1
1 bud
Strange Grenade Launcher
Level 1
2.00 ref
Refined Metal


Mini update: audio alert for live deals

Sun, 31 Aug 2014 20:34:19 +0000
Camping the live deals can be a strain on your nervous system, especially if you focus on rare items (unusuals) or very high profits because they don't show up every second and you must stay in front of the window or else you'll miss a good deal.

Not anymore
Well, now you can relax and do something else since I've added an audio alert option to the live deals that will play a sound when new trades show up so that you can stop doing whatever you're doing (hey that's none of my business!) and take a look:

Sorry guys, this one is a just for pro update, remember that you can try pro for 15 minutes for a mere scrap (or 1 hour for a reclaimed) which you'll recover in no time anyway by picking some juicy deals ;) Now that's a marketing pitch!

Happy trading

PS: A bug where the sound would play regardless of the filters you had set has been fixed, so now if you only show unusuals, it'll only play sound when unusuals appear.

Coming soon... may be: a special trading bot for everyone

Fri, 29 Aug 2014 02:23:57 +0000
Well here's how it started, after my unusual experiments, I'm left off with many items to sell. And it's a pain to sell them all by hand.

So I thought may be I should write a bot to sell them for me, and this is where it gets interesting. Basically if I can do it for me, I can do it for everyone, but I'd like the bot to behave like this:
  1. the items stay in my inventory, in case I want to trade them live
  2. I set the price at which I want to sell the item
  3. if a trade offer is sent to me for the price I specified, then bot automatically accepts it for me otherwise it declines it
  4. it's just a bot, it acts for me on trade offers that I told it to act on, that's all, I still have to post a trade on major site like outpost, etc... for people to know I'm selling the item.
  5. And the bot runs in a simple web page on, it's easy to configure what to sell, etc...
So I am currently testing a prototype and it works, but I was wondering if you guys had any needs or feedback, or even if such a bot would be useful to you.

Also I'd like to make it special for pros, like may be they can sell an unlimited number of items at the same time while regular users can sell only 4 for example, or may regular users can only have the bot sell items worth less than a key. I'm looking for ideas basically.

I'm still thinking about it (features, balance between regular and pros), so leave your suggestions!!!

Uncrating unusuals using the Crate Spreadsheet

Sat, 23 Aug 2014 19:28:32 +0000
Today I was bored and thought I'd try uncrating a first generation (most valuable) unusual hat using the crate spreadsheet to minimize my losses:

So basically by clicking on crates, I saw #1, #13, #14, #21 had a low average loss and also had first generation unusuals. I had been gathering those for a while. Today I decided to uncrate them since keys have kind of dropped and may be it was time to gamble a bit.
  • On crate #13, it turns out I got 13 white paints (worth 2 keys) and 26 pink paints (worth 1 key). So that's roughly 65 keys worth of proceeds, but I also got 39 basic weapons. But basically the concept worked, I was minimizing my losses.
  • On crate #14, similarly I got twice as many lime green (worth 1 key) as black paint (worth 2 keys).
  • Crate #1 was yielding well on black and white paints.
  • And #21 was yielding a lot of strange shotguns and miniguns.
So I've been uncrating and uncrating, and after 200 keys (yeah I wasn't very lucky), eventually the unusual came:
The first ever Sunbeams Dark Falkirk Helm. As expected it's a first generation effect. And it's the first one of that type/hat ever uncrated.

Detailed analysis
Basically in my uncrating I got the following items:
200 keys
  • Unusual Sunbeams Dark Falkirk Helm (first ever, no known price)
  • 17 white (34 keys)
  • 16 black (32 keys)
  • 26 pink (26 keys)
  • 18 lime (18 keys)
  • 13 shotguns (13 keys)
  • 10 miniguns (~10 keys)
  • a bunch of hats and stuff worth 1.33 ref
66 keys spent for eventually uncrating Unusual Sunbeams Dark Falkirk Helm

Now you'll notice that I didn't count the crate prices, I've just collected for cheap on steam market for a while and don't remember their values anyway.

But in the end, the deciding factor will be how much is worth the Unusual I got, if it's worth more than 5 buds (and obviously it's going to be worth far more), it's a clear win even accounting for crates prices and all the small items in the 1 - 2 ref range I got from uncrating.

That's where first generation come into play, they're generally worth a lot. And the second part is the rarity, clearly here it's 1 of 1 in existence, and your odds of getting a 1 out of 1 are higher on first generation since there are so many new hats that were not available when the first generation crates were released.

Good luck uncrating for those of you who do, and be scientific about it and make sure you check the crate spreadsheet.

I've put this hat on Outpost to see what kind of offers I'll get, I'll keep you updated.

New feaures for unusuals traders

Tue, 19 Aug 2014 04:01:47 +0000
Due to popular demand from the big rollers who trade unusuals, Live Deals now has an option
[x] Only show unusuals
Since it's in the Live Deals, it's pro-only.

Remember that
  • non-pro have a delay a 5 minutes before seeing any kind of deals
  • pros have a delay of 1 minute for every section
  • live deals have a delay under 1 second
Have fun